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iphoneBusinessweek Archives Ebb And Flow Friday, June 22, 2001 Businessweek Archives When the Dow Jones industrial average plunged nearly 1,000 points on June 14, selling off big name companies, the market hit a record low for the time of year. In the three weeks since, though, the Dow has been making some big strides, rising more than 200 points in a three-day period. So, what's going on? The drop that shook Wall Street had no particular catalyst. But it was definitely a negative: The president's healthcare plan was condemned by most investors as a potential drag on the economy. With healthcare seemingly off the table for now, the economy might appear to have turned the corner. For example, in a recent survey, nearly half of those polled rated the economy as "excellent" or "good." Or, at least, that's what the pundits would have us believe. Whether Wall Street is in the middle of a boom or a slump isn't as important as the prevailing views within the financial press. The newspapers and financial magazines dutifully report the changing mood in the markets, and as those views change, so do the headlines. Right now, for example, the financial press is excited about the fact that the job market may be returning to normal. That story has been consistent over the past two months, and is even reflected in the president's job-creation strategy, which is built around ways to give local and state governments more money to hire new workers. Thus, the reason we're seeing positive news in the markets is that we're seeing positive views in the press. And those views change. The president's new emphasis on local hiring won't necessarily produce a surge in employment--that will depend on whether employers are willing to take the government's bait and hire people. But an upturn in hiring is certainly good news. As for the long-term prospects for the economy, that's less clear. We'll have to wait until after the president's State of the Union speech on Jan. 29 to see what he has to say. (His address is scheduled for Jan. 20, the day before President George W. Bush is inaugurated.) What he says will certainly influence the mood in the market, since he is expected to put forward a blueprint for what he intends to do in the second year of his administration. If the recent advance

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